2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and decide on

The 2012 Euro Cup is right down to the final four teams, and when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they shall be playing to face the winner from the Spain vs. Portugal game that can place later today.
Recent history between both of these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't value earlier times, they're focused on the overall game accessible.
The German squad have not beaten Italy in a competitive match.
"We can't reverse time, forget about about it, earlier times doesn't play a check here role inside our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is Germany has never won against Italy in a major tournament, but what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's time for Germany to win as they're the widely used at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will be a tricky, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method on this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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